Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 5.236327 5.717111 6.241801 6.860471 7.574627 8.378797 9.360927
2025-02-16 4.443138 5.091951 5.854666 6.831672 8.071472 9.623500 11.766457
2025-02-23 4.041468 4.786356 5.708321 6.962453 8.673125 11.006106 14.589623
2025-03-02 3.628634 4.392087 5.370394 6.757913 8.751760 11.652490 16.504763
2025-03-09 3.334002 4.107721 5.127938 6.626790 8.880338 12.355453 18.657618
2025-03-16 3.119473 3.903615 4.964056 6.572372 9.094053 13.205764 21.293560
2025-03-23 3.008541 3.826362 4.962216 6.744856 9.672207 14.759572 25.795925
2025-03-30 2.812538 3.613610 4.745083 6.560305 9.633161 15.209224 28.179694
2025-04-06 2.637075 3.417188 4.534823 6.361845 9.537464 15.525919 30.385013
2025-04-13 2.480853 3.238315 4.336847 6.162228 9.409831 15.750056 32.461569
2025-04-20 2.374534 3.125486 4.229965 6.100337 9.520559 16.482206 36.273537
2025-04-27 2.330502 3.101225 4.255947 6.261552 10.068676 18.284361 44.408861
2025-05-04 2.269046 3.054560 4.254886 6.397679 10.637174 20.421613 56.155667
2025-05-11 2.181772 2.964842 4.180931 6.401978 10.953826 22.100520 68.564766
2025-05-18 2.124939 2.918035 4.172221 6.523110 11.542518 24.746097 90.286148
2025-05-25 2.017429 2.785077 4.010223 6.337468 11.413829 25.292367 101.586198
2025-06-01 1.930657 2.680452 3.889013 6.218220 11.419926 26.273088 118.597229
2025-06-08 1.862696 2.602346 3.807716 6.168694 11.584198 27.852130 145.963169
2025-06-15 1.833203 2.584617 3.829004 6.325612 12.288264 31.682524 217.244568
2025-06-22 1.755514 2.484020 3.698189 6.157710 12.129232 32.213356 251.217826
2025-06-29 1.681028 2.385679 3.566277 5.976918 11.910762 32.444276 284.772429
2025-07-06 1.610999 2.292075 3.438306 5.794820 11.664739 32.490701 318.769710
2025-07-13 1.563425 2.234109 3.371658 5.738310 11.757846 34.092797 417.045360